I looked at your account and based on the data you gave it, it did a good job. You told us 8 min intervals between 223-238 were “hard”, and really didn’t have any NP rides greater than 208 np.
Then you ran AI FTP the day before you did that 20 min effort. Then that effort was WAY outside what you’ve done recently and how you marked your RPE.
I don’t think any human looking at your workouts between Ramp Test and your 20 min effort would have guessed you’d do 278 np for 20 mins!
Like you said “8 minutes at 230 is hard!” then you ripped 278 for 20! I applaud the effort but please cut AI FTP Detection some slack. It seems magical but it’s not actually magic .
We do need some sort of data (not capacitive efforts) but something a bit closer to your actual fitness level.
Here’s what I see:
Ramp test with 253 FTP Result
5/8 - Jordan - SweetSpot 2.0 (Moderate)
5/10 - Zwift 55 min - 208 np
5/11 - Ericsson - SweetSpot 2.8 - 8 min intervals between 223-238 - np 200 (Hard)
5/14 - Holt Hill -2 - Tempo 2.8 - 177 np (easy)
5/16 - Hogeback - Tempo 3.9 - 191 np (Moderate)
5/17 - Zwift - 1 hour - 164 np
5/18 - Carter - Endurance 3.3 - 170 np (easy)
5/22 - Beech - Endurance 4.1 - 171 np (easy)
5/23 - Zwift - 10min - 194 np
5/23 Run AI FTP Detection - 239 ftp
5/25 - Zwift - 30min - 260 np <-----WAY OUTSIDE THE CURVE!
I think that 5/25 looks like a different athlete.
You also haven’t given us much historical data, this makes it harder for AT to judge your “rebound” from sickness that I suspect you’re having.
With this new data, I re-ran AI FTP Detection for you today and it’s got you at 249.
Can you do me a favor and run Marion at the FTP you think you are at (265)? Log In to TrainerRoad
That’s a 4.2 threshold at 3x12 @ 98%. If you can do it, then you’ll give AT more data to lock you in. If you have problems, then I think AI FTP Detection might be a bit more accurate. I suspect you’re somewhere in the middle of those two…but I’d like to see!