I’m going for it. Stats: 56 yo Caucasian male, current weight 212 lbs (226 lbs in 2022), 6 ft 2, triple hernia surgery in January 2023 with a month bed recovery. Used to ride bikes 20 years ago, but never any structured training. Started at 135 ftp from TR ramp test in late February 2023 (likely …

Agree, he will hit a plateau without a volume/stimulus change eventually. Dunno if he will hit that before 3.5W/kg though. I have athletes ranging from 50-75CTL who are between 3.4 and ~4W/kg. I hit 4W/kg on 55CTL. Just depends on the person and they type and consistency of training. Not all TSS (an…

Thanks for the analysis, very helpful. My goal is to make a 200 W gain in one calendar year not two years. I took an FTP ramp test in February 27, 2023 And came out with 135 watts. So in the case of comparing apples to apples, I will take another FTP ramp test at the end of February 2024 to see whe…

Yes, I had my years wrong. First ramp test in February 2023 was 135 watts. The goal is 335 watts in February 2024.

Look it’s an estimate. I’m 52, at mid 50s ctl I had an ftp of 291. At mid 80s it’s 334 (by ai ftp) and 330 in a real hour of power test, no taper. Mostly unstructured, a lot of z2, maybe one threshold per week. In July I peaked at around 340 (about 100ctl) I’m 6’2 and a bit, I weigh (after losi…

@therealemm , @kurt.braeckel , @timon Just to add to the discussion, in my 2023 experience/experiment, TSS does not equal any guaranteed or projected FTP. In May 2023 FTP was at it’s highest (317) at a CTL of 71. After my “A” event, FTP was at its lowest for the year (306) at a CTL of 80. As an ex…

Great insight! I’m carrying a lot of upper body muscle due to being a full time farmer. I do farmers carries every day, but without the kettlebell! Weight is coming off from the consistent biking since last February (Hopefully not too much muscle), better diet, sleep and no alcohol. I think my s…

Yeah I don’t know what to tell you. Looking at the last 2 years, with just 2 samples I can predict just as well as the AI FTP of TR what my ftp will be based upon my ctl alone. Any two samples. Maybe I’m just one of those squarely living in the bell curve of mediocrity. I’m downloading my strava…

I uploaded my data and intervals gives me the basically the same result. eFTP at a given training load is pretty consistent. The model is ‘periodic’ at predicting my ftp because I didn’t have enough hard efforts I guess for it to make an estimate. Where it does move the eftp needle it correlates s…

[image] therealemm: eFTP at a given training load is pretty consistent. Training load and eFTP have nothing to do with each other. Your eFTP will be as accurate as your settings and the data you give it. It’s just based on a single effort. [IMG_1027]

The eftp and the ftp I set are the same at times where eftp shifts (it’s bumping up from a static state, I’m assuming it made some calculation to do so) most likely this is a big effort I made, or an ftp test. I’m telling you that my ftp and my training load are highly correlated. Because this is …

200 watt increase in FTP in 1 year?

Training

GarageLab December 29, 2023, 4:26pm 35

Here’s one way.

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200 watt increase in FTP in 1 year?

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