Why did AI FTP Prediction go down?

TrainerRoad Software
,
1

Hi,

I just changed my account to public so you can see it here. Here’s what happened recently:

  • AI FTP detection on 04/03 bumped me to 261W.
  • At the point of my detection on 04/03. AI FTP prediction for 05/01 indicated 270W.
  • My training plan scheduled a Sweet Spot ride on 04/04 and an Endurance ride on 04/05.
  • I did a casual social ride on 04/04. To accomodate, I moved the scheduled Sweet Spot ride to Sunday as I didn’t want to miss an interval session. As such I ended up skipping the originally scheduled Endurance ride.
  • AI FTP Prediction now indicates no change for 05/01 – 261W.

My simple question is why? I skipped the Endurance ride, but it’s not like I didn’t ride at all. Why did AI FTP prediction change so much for such a small change?

2

I’d be happy to dig into your account a bit and let you know what I find. Can I share all of that here?

3

Yes!

4

Your last 5 days before your AIFTP Prediction have no training in. That’s not gonna help!

1 Like
5

Actually that’s a great point. I was going to schedule a new training plan but haven’t gotten around to it yet. But my point still stands that it used to show a predicated FTP of 270W and now back down to 261W replacing an 90min endurance ride with a 120min recovery ride.

6

Hey @bogardon :slight_smile:

I feel @Helvellyn is right on the money here. I feel like it has more to do with not having workouts on the last week of the detection. I’d be keen to see what happens when you add a new training plan!

I also noticed that you schedule training plans 3 months at a time. You have the option to schedule longer ones if you want :slight_smile:

1 Like
7

I ended up getting sick and had to cancel two rides, one interval and one endurance. curiously my ai ftp prediction stayed at 261W!

8

yes but the lack of new training plan was also the case when it showed me 270W last week.

i did end up adding a new training plan, but due to circumstances i had to add it a couple weeks after the end of my current one :frowning: