I have now seen 4 successive AIFTP decreases during my training, despite good plan compliance (not perfect of course). I do 11-12 hours a week on the bike, good nutrition on and off the bike, decent sleep.
See my career page here: TrainerRoad
Help me, roast me.
Thank you!
Do I have permission to post things about your Calendar or relevant information that can help me explain what may be happening here?
If not, you can always contact support@trainerroad.com and we can help ya out directly.
I hope this “do I have permission” process is just some temporary thing and that process gets handled more efficiently in the future (maybe some accept guideline checkmark when posting/replying). (Or is this some form of nudging people into the support mail channel?)
At this time this seems really cumbersome and adds work to your (assumingely) already overflowing staple (Community moderation needed).
Yep!
When I click on the link to your calendar I get this:
That’s a nice bug. Does that mean we can go in an skip workouts for everyone with a public calendar? 
Or the opposite, the forum community has collectively decided you have to do Heseman.
Me too, I would have thought the title and public calendar would be enough.
Maybe something in user settings like, “Permission to be roasted by TR”
I don’t want to roast you, but it’s very funny that you’re asking for it. Chapeau! 
It is now mandatory to complete Heseman at my FTP before you can comment on this thread.
The irony being I got caught in a massive storm and have not completed that workout.
This brings up a totally unrelated question: why is editing past days in the calendar no longer an option?
I don’t know about the past days, but I am prompted with this question daily as I often do my workouts at around 8 pm. The answer is irrelevant as I can load the workout regardless. I don’t really get the point of the extra dialogue window.
I dug into your account and noticed a few things that could be contributing to the small FTP dips over the past two months. The good news: you’ve been rating workouts as Hard or Very Hard consistently since the system recalibrated to your new FTP of 349 on January 21, 2026, which tells me you’re right where you should be intensity-wise.
However, here’s a few things I noticed worth flagging:
Sick Training Adjustment You had a sick training adjustment that lasted almost 6 weeks from Nov-Dec last year. Worth flagging because it seems like 2025 had a recurring theme of getting sick, and I’m not seeing many periods of genuine downtime between bouts. You clearly love to train, which is great, but it’s something to keep in mind heading into 2026.
Fatigue Detection For the most part, you’re not following what Fatigue Detection recommends. For example, on Yellow Days you’re still doing intervals. This builds accumulated fatigue over time, and I can see it showing up in your post-workout surveys since January with responses like “Maximum Effort,” “Poor Sleep,” and “Stress/Motivation” being flags worth paying attention to.
Workout Alternates It looks like you’re frequently choosing Workout Alternates rather than what the plan prescribes, hence the missing green sparkles next to completed workout names. This is fine occasionally, but doing it consistently can affect your FTP outcome.
Final Thoughts Your overall training history is solid. That said, a small recalibration could go a long way. Your FTP has slipped 349 to 345 over two months, but that’s a very small decrease and nothing to stress over. At 4.75 W/kg, gains will naturally come in small increments compared to someone earlier in their development.
Going forward, it may help to consider an off-season block to let your body fully recover before building again, reducing volume slightly with even one extra rest day making a difference, following Fatigue Detection recommendations on yellow or red days, and sticking closer to what the AI Training window is prescribing.
Honestly, I think it comes down to finding a better balance between training stress and recovery. A small step back now could set you up for a stronger push forward.
Hello Caro, this may be a silly question but what exactly is an Off-season block?
I’ve never heard about that.
If Caro or anyone can let me know, thanks.
looking at your link it shows your current ftp at 345 and a predicted increase to 356/3.2% in 21 days…don’t see the decreases but you do a lot of work in zones 3 and 4…perhaps you have been focusing on these zones as more of a priority which may impact overall ftp?
The off-season for cyclists (typically autumn/fall) is a critical 2–6 week period for physical and mental recovery, followed by low-intensity, unstructured training. It focuses on recovering from burnout, fixing imbalances, and building foundational strength through cross-training like lifting, hiking, or yoga to prepare for the following season.
Thanks for this, never heard worded this way before.
I thought it was another training plan.
Ops! Sorry, it’s just my foreigness coming out haha.
@Rizzi, this isn’t a nudge toward support. We genuinely want to help here on the forum.
The reality is we can’t share an athlete’s private training data in a public thread without their consent first, even when the intent is to help.
If the back-and-forth here feels like too much, support@trainerroad.com has always been our main and direct type of support for these kinds of questions and the team there can dig into the data directly.
I do the workouts in the zones prescribed. So, at the moment that is 1xVo2, 1xThreshold and 1xSweetspot, with the rest filled in with endurance. The FTP prediction is ALWAYS very optimistic. So far I have never seen the massive predicted increase after a block of training, always a decrease.
Hi Caro - thanks for taking the time to look into my calendar, I appreciate that.
The sickness I experienced at the end of last year did not affect my physical abilities. However, on that note, why are illnesses no longer marked in the TSS/week overview dropdown in the calendar view? Looking back at past years, I can see a red dot where I have input illness, but that no longer shows for recent ones?
Regarding alternates: I will choose an alternate if I have more or less time, or the structure of the workout is not conducive to completing it outside. You mention the sparkles, but those sparkles are on the alternates when chosen through the workout alternates menu on the calendar, so I’m not sure I follow you.
I think my main gripe is that I get presented with incredibly optimistic FTP gains at the beginning of every single block, train with decent consistency and volume, and then end up with a drop in fitness after 4 weeks of training.
