The Bell curve of cylists - how fast are the average TR users?

Training
720

Maybe 396 with a 38minute TTE :man_shrugging::stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye:

Also, you can do it!

721

Holy smokes, 392 W is amazing! It is exceedingly unlikely I’ll ever get close to that, I’d have to add 50 W to my FTP. This is proper stuff.

I totally understand where you are coming from: I’m 42 myself and my FTP (and other measures of my fitness) are still increasing. This is the last decade where I can see growth.

However, I would focus on your recovery and your ability to put in the work. Priority number 1 is to recover from your knee surgery. Add e. g. strength training, mobility work, etc. if your physio recommends that. And then do the work on and off the bike.

In my experience, bodies have a good “memory” of what they are capable of and if you are that fit, you’ll gain back fitness much more quickly. Just allow it to do its job healing, it’ll then support you.

I can lend you 10–20 W for a day. :slight_smile:

723

Thanks to the TR team for these data sets! I am a 48 year old man and have been searching everywhere for information to help me figure out where I stack up against the general population on FTP! Great to see these distributions, which is far more useful than just reading somewhere “the average FTP for a 50 year old man is XXX.” This really helps me in my goal setting.

724

Are you complaining?

725

If so, I imagine they’ve probably gotten over it in the intervening seven years :blush:

726

I would love if these curves could normalize for elevation.

727

I am curious if these curves moved in any meaningful way with the new AI measured values.

728

I wonder how the “new” inflated AiFTP has influenced these percentages compared to the old school numbers? :wink:

Too soon?

729

Always fun for me to look at charts like that:

  • FTP: 445w (intervals and stride AI assessment) - off the chart
  • Watts/kg: 4.4w/kg - decent but nothing remarkable
  • Height: 203cm - 1 in 20,000 tall in the UK
  • Weight: 101kg. Not sure how many competitive cyclists there are that weigh over 100kg! :laughing:
730

RIP the poor clydesdale competitors you line up next to.

731

I take a different view - just think of the draft I’m offering! :laughing:

732

If I took my latest AIFTP estimate and my “dehydrated” weight after a ride in the heat earlier this week, I’m looking at 4.48w/kg. And I have a really long ride in the heat planned for tomorrow, I will easily get over 4.5w/kg once I see the scale after that ride.

Unfortunately, none of those numbers are real and I’m actually sitting at ~4.17w/KG with my manually set FTP and my real weight when properly hydrated. But I’m super happy with the ~4.17w/kg at this time of the year and how I got to it. FTP is sitting about where it was this time last year (and within ~5 watts of my lifetime best) and I’m probably the leanest I’ve been in my life. At 57, both of those things are big wins for me. A few more watts to gain and another couple pounds to lose and I’m looking at a lifetime best w/KG of ~4.3w/kg for my A race in late May. There are still plenty of folks in the 50+ AG pushing much bigger numbers, I just assume they have better parents and/or are visiting Dr. Ferrari. There’s no way they are training harder/smarter than me (tongue in cheek)….

733
  1. 4.6W/kg
734

If AI FTP is to be believed I’m currently sitting at 4.07w/kg and if the prediction doesn’t drop over the weekend I’ll rise to 4.2w/kg.

735

Ha, I was wondering when people were going to start quoting their inflated AIFTP! I know you are joking of course. If I take my inflated AIFTP, I’m at just under 4.8 w/kg. If I get down another 1.5kg, I’ll be around 4.9.

For my true current FTP, I’m around 4.5 or so. Not bad for a 50 year old man too!