I had a predicted FTP of between 299-308 ish all month. With 4 workouts to go, yesterday it showed I had FTP prediction of 303, I do my VO2 max work successfully (even a bit more) and FTP prediction then drops to 293 with 3 workouts to go. (I completed one of them today stayed at 293). I could see…

Personally I’m not sure I would consider that a bug, but more of an indication of how much more efficient indoor workouts are. If you’re hitting the brakes during a key interval of course the predicted FTP will never be realized. I really wish the post outdoor workout power curve would show with the…

Just like OP, I’m also experiencing this issue. My last block had my predicted ftp at 373 after 3 weeks of successful work outs (all of which i always do outdoors). then come the last week of the 4 week block and like clock work every work out starts dropping my predicted FTP (not the first time th…

[image] UWDawgs: Perhaps if people could see that and realize how far off they were to what was prescribed they wouldn’t throw such a fit when their prediction drops. Today I had a 4x5 VO2Max workout. For the first interval I was bang on target, the second I was 3 watts above, then 8 above an…

The plans have moved on. No need to bring him back. Both TR and Chad have been clear on that era being over.

It’d be nice to have Chad back. His knowledge and approach was invaluable.

I am not a fan of FTP prediction. Seems like there are more complaints and questions than anything. Maybe TR needs to rework that idea a bit.

For what it’s worth I also see this inside when I use my assioma duos in erg mode as the trainer power source and there’s slight variation in output throughout the course of an interval. Am I better off using my trainer power for TR workouts?

I think the main problem is with outdoor training, when I was doing my plan indoors it stayed consistent with the FTP prediction, but now that weather is better and days longer I’ve been doing my training outside and my FTP is dropping, not improving. I’m seriously considering canceling my subscrip…

People really rate the Prediction huh, it wasn’t a feature 5 months ago but fair enough if you move to 100% outdoor rides, though I do rate RLGL and the calendar highly, regardless of structure. I kind of rank the main features as.. AI workout selection RLGL Plans FTP detection Calendar FTP predi…

FTP Prediction Drops 10 points after successful workout

TrainerRoad Software

UKCarl June 28, 2026, 5:46pm 86

Eddie, I interprited your quote below differently

Carl

Topic		Replies	Views
FTP prediction dropped from from +11 to no change the day after my last workout of the block TrainerRoad Software	78	2015	June 3, 2026
Help Us Track AI FTP Prediction Drops After Outside Workouts TrainerRoad Software	200	6047	July 1, 2026
Feeling EXTREMELY frustrated with AI FTP detection/plan! TrainerRoad Software	150	4811	July 1, 2026
Every time I finish a workout my projected AI FTP goes down TrainerRoad Software	59	2379	April 30, 2026
AI FTP drops 7w in 2 hours TrainerRoad Software	104	2404	May 19, 2026

FTP Prediction Drops 10 points after successful workout

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FTP Prediction Drops 10 points after successful workout

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