This has been a really interesting and [mostly] insightful discussion. Thank you, everyone.
The key points that Seiler has long been making seem to me to be:
1 in the long run, for a given genetic endowment, volume is king. More volume means more capacity to ride fast – but this relationship is subject to diminishing returns [each 10% increase in volume induces a smaller and smaller percentage increase in capacity].
2 more volume means number of hours per week * ability to do those hours consistently [minimal breaks due to sickness, injury, fatigue].
3 intensity improves respiration, the delivery of oxygen to muscles, and therefore power. Other contributions too. But requires long recovery times.
4 therefore, in the long run, high volumes of training require that one limit the amount of intensity. As it turns out, for athletes that train a lot [eg, pros], that limit seems to be about 10% or less of their total training time.
[But, 5: the logic of this argument suggests that the proportion of time spent at intensity depends on total training time, training status and personal factors. After all, a day off training is in effect recovery time for us; a pro would fill with that day a long ride.]
That seems to me to be classic Seiler. In this podcast and in others recently, however, he has brought the discussion to a more basic level, through the concept of stress.
What do we want to do through training? Adaptations of various kinds. How to get them? Stress the body and perhaps particular organs, muscles. So what are the stressors that we apply?
6 total volume, as above.
7 rides of a duration and intensity that require long recovery times [eg, more than 24 hours]. These could be Z2 rides of 6-8 hours, which would stress me, or an hour ride with 3*15 30/15 VO2 max intervals, which would also stress me. And, of course, anything in between, including 2 hours of sweet spot.
8 and now we are back to the optimisation problem: how to raise volume while including some high stress rides.
8a for some people, there is just not enough time to allow Z2 rides to become stressful. Therefore, for them, all stress is through higher intensities and we are in classic Seiler land. These people have to optimise high intensity and low intensity to fill out their available volume.
8b for others, either because they have more time or they are less trained, Z2 rides can be long enough to be stressful. Seiler thinks that decoupling is an index of whether or not a ride is stressful [I think]. These people have to optimise long Z2, higher intensity and shorter Z2 to maximise their volume [or to fill out the available volume].
Importantly notice that this formulation provides support for those riders who swear by long duration low-intensity rides and those who advocate more high intensity approaches. They are two approaches to the optimisation problem 8b.
All of this is long run thinking. You can do bouts of, say, a month of high intensity every day of the week. And people do. But we are talking about the long term – years or more.
This went on a bit – sorry for that.