Hey there everyone.
While I love all the bikes, TT Bikes are my greatest passion. TTing is just an extremely sophisticated discipline, where differences in material can have great influence.
As a relative newbie to road cycling (< 2 years), I have not „participated“ in the development of the TT bike market over the past decades, but I think I have quite a good grasp of the past 5 to 10 years.
The most obvious development in the TT bike market in recent years, is obviously very similar to that in road bikes, with disc brakes, electronic gearing and higher level of integration becoming ever more prevalent.
Another thing, that is rather similar to road bikes, is the move away from „all out aero“ and more into „lightweight usable aero“.
What this has lead to, at least IMO, is that many of the fastest (aerodynamically) TT bikes, are now several years old. The previous gen Cervelo P5 test quite a bit faster than the current gen. Apparently TREK has attempted to develop a Disc brake, more nimble TT bike, but with the same speed as the Speedconcept, and, this is according to someone close to the brand, didn’t manage to nearly match the speed.
Disc brakes are the most obvious reason for that, as a spinning rotor likely costs you 3 to 5 watts compared to a rim brake.
TT bikes are also a small, very Specialist segment, with Tri bikes being the much more mainstream product.
Having watched all TTs in the GTs so far this year and also several ITT championships, it became very apparent to me that several big bike manufactures have not updated their TT bike in ages.
The biggest ones in Canyon, Giant and Trek have hardly changed in years, and are all rim brake only. Branchi, Pinarello, Colnago look very 2010s, still only rim brakes.
BMC, Factor and Cervelo have updated their respective top models, however, both are „hybrids“ with a big focus on Tri.
The latest Specialized Shiv TT is definitely a „new“ take on TT bikes, with it being more resemblant to an aero road bike, and high focus on nimbleness. It is also one of the very few „for TT only“ bikes.
A bike that got me very interested however is the new Scott Plasma 6. It is of course a Tri bike with reservoir, storages etc. Just by its looks, it appears very aero, and has smart solutions, that might get you a slight edge here and there.
With all this said, what do you think, where are TT bikes headed for the next two years?
I am sure that all these brands will have to release something at some point. Of course, the likelihood is very high, that there will be ever more TT bikes and Tri bikes morph into one (which I would really not like).
I am not sure, if the direction is more into the „full-blown-aero“ (like Speedconcept or 2015 Cercelo P5), especially with the UCI-regulations on frames set to loosen up.
Or is the direction more „road bike like“ like the Shiv TT, with more focus on weight and handling? Looking at the recent TTs in GTs, many pros would probably love to have a lighter bike (Bologna TT 2019, Planche des belles filles etc.).
Would really like to hear your opinions or maybe even insights into knowledge I don‘t have.