These are the odds:
- Pog is the stronger individual rider, but his team is weaker (relatively) and he lost that Slovenian TT championship.
- Rog is consistently good, but nobody knows his form and Jumbo will be good but not the powerhouse of 2020.
- Thomas, this is entirely subjective, but imo his best days are behind him
- Carapaz, I think if Ineos wins it is with him.
All the others are long shots. Of course, of those Uran and Lopez are my picks. 
Cheers