As I said its Jayco
I think this is a distraction from the āwe failed to medal at the Olympicsā and they knew that before. Hence why it came out in the lead in.
I donāt buy the Jayco angleā¦ā¦seems to be based solely on mutual sponsorship by Giant and Jayco has already said it only rumors.
They also just signed OāConnor for their GC hopes, so I seriously doubt it overall.
This point is not disputed.
As Ive said in a few posts, he will still never change the way he looks like people are imagining. Like it or not, this is his body shape and itās the shape of the 2020 Olympic champion. More power to him.
That is a far comment. Gotta be favourite though. Cant see who else. I still think its a distraction from the āfailureā for the second Olympic title or even medal. I could maybe see the Classics as a goal at a big stretch, but not the TdF. Canāt really see him making a TdF squad.
Itās an experiment for them, the athlete and the company owning the training data, it may work out, it may fail - the point is to be trying new things and being totally fine that thereās a good chance of failure.
Plus for the athlete heās got nothing left to prove in triathlon.
This is not a post Olympic race announcement either, we knew this in the tri community ages ago.
Yes I know, Iām part of that community.
A month ago plus the rumours started.
Still think they realised 4-5 months ago a double medal was out of the question.
Iād forgot about the data part, thats the bit that makes it⦠make sense in a way.

Heās stated he wants to win the 2028 tour, not stages
To be clear that article is quoting his coach Bu, not the athlete himself, Blu.
āAccording to his coach, the Tour goal will be met in a progressive manner. He would race the Grand Tour in 2026, with a focus primarily on testing. That year would serve as preparation, with the goal of winning āsome jerseysā in 2027. Then, just three years later, he would plan to take the yellow jersey and win the overall classification of the Tour de France.ā
And thatās obvious quite ambitious given the superheroes currently on the field of play. But 26 seems sensible, 27 possible.
If you want to disagree thatās fine, but Bu doesnāt say things like that repeatedly unless he and Blu are on the same page. Thatās fine though

A lot of good points in this article, Kristian Blummenfelt is not going to win the 2028 Tour de France - Escape Collective , his age, pack dynamics, and questions surrounding the Vo2 max claims and itās validity as a metric in general all point negatively towards it.
Do you guys really think this team, and the people they were able to talk to before considering this experiment, didnāt consider these extremely basic things?
I honestly donāt think the article makes good points at all and I think you guys are all really underestimating the sophistication of this group of people.
By no means are the posters here alone, the cycling community has thrown a lot of shade on this whole thing without thinking it through and making huge assumptions based on his shape. Iām criticising that, but Iām not attacking any individuals here.
My points donāt seem to be landing though, so Iāll go back to my cheesecake and wine Salut!
I kinda think that thereās some kid born in 2000 thatās gonna win a few tours about the same time Kristian is thinking heās will be the winner.
Iām sure they considered them. Itās pure speculation whether or not he can put together all the other skills required to be a grand tour winner. I and others speculate that he canāt.
Unclear how that makes them not good points.

Do you guys really think this team, and the people they were able to talk to before considering this experiment, didnāt consider these extremely basic things?
I honestly donāt think the article makes good points at all and I think you guys are all really underestimating the sophistication of this group of people.
I mean, I would have thought that they would have considered how important soft skills are. But if they considered it and they still thought he can win the Tour in 2028, then Iām not sure what to say. Smart people, if they convince themselves of the wrong course of action, can be even harder to dissuade than people who are not smart because they can rationalize their incorrect decisions.
Have you raced bikes before? If so, I imagine youāve seen the guys with massive engines who lose several spots in crit corners, right? I was one of those guys! Anyway, racing at the pro level, Blummenfeldt will have to learn to corner in a big bunch, plus how to read the race, when he should be at the front, who he should follow, how to work his way back to the team car (because nobodyās going to do it for him unless he is absolutely preternaturally talented), how to work his way back from the team cars, how to descend, how to descend in a bunch, how to react to road obstructions when youāre deep in the bunch ⦠there are countless things I canāt even name because Iām nowhere near that level. He will have to learn all of those things. At age 30, when your brain is less plastic.

Do you guys really think this team, and the people they were able to talk to before considering this experiment, didnāt consider these extremely basic things?
It certainly appears so.

I think you guys are all really underestimating the sophistication of this group of people.
I am not familiar with his team. Who are they and what experience do they have with top level cycling?
To think you are fading in your primary sport and can just jump into a grand tour and win like itās minor leagues kind of makes you question his team. I mean itās almost comical.
Last year we finally saw the first successful cross over with Michael Woods being the first sub 4 minute miler to win a stage at the tour. He has never cracked the top 30 in GC. Maybe his team should try just to get on a team and finish before pushing articles with the title āfuture winner of the Tour de France.ā
I donāt disagree. That said he called his shot about the Tokyo games so it appears thatās likely psychologically beneficial for Kristian.

I am not familiar with his team. Who are they and what experience do they have with top level cycling?
Olav Aleksander Bu is his coach. The guy is said to be brilliant. From a casual glance, I see him mentioned in triathlon publications a lot. Iām not sure if he coaches any cyclists.
This is going to sound harsh. But people in the US may remember Dr. Benjamin Carson. Brilliant neurosurgeon. Got into conservative politics, fell in with Trump, went to run the Department of Housing and Urban Development. He basically did nothing productive. He should have stuck to medicine.
Why do I mention Ben Carson? No reason, no reason at all.
Mark Allen, arguably the greatest triathlete in history, was a phenomenal runnerā¦during triathlons. Ran around a 2:40 marathon during Ironman events. At one point he announced he was going to run an open marathon and try to qualify for the Olympic trials. Huge buzz ahead of it, talk of sub 2:10 etc. He came no where close and never attempted it again. Itās a niche sport (I know, Iāve done it since the mid 80s). The proās are near world class in all three events. But the cycling leg of a triathlon has very little relation to road racing. KB has absolutely no chance of any success (classics, smaller stage races, grand tours). Zero. None. Nada. Every neo pro cyclist (with years of training and racing actual cycling events) who goes to Europe and races on the World Tour circuit says the same thing: they were blown away by the speed of the peloton. Some take several seasons to adjust, even more give up. My guess is KB will DNF every world tour race he attempts and quit before his first season ends. Thatās my harsh take