I’m in the last week of a detection cycle.
Last night I was predicted 239->249 I think I started the cycle predicting 254.
I added in some outdoor endurance rides to the week and it elevated to 251.
I completed the ride, but outdoor execution in London is variable:
And now I’m down to 247!
Wtf?
That’s even less than not riding, when a solid hour added watts!
Ps also wanted to show off my fatigue mgmt 
——-edit
I’ve faffed about with all the rides to see if anything makes it better;
- Any increase in quality rides (extending, adding, converting from endurance) decreased predicted ftp
- Any change to the Sunday ride makes no difference at all
- Removing my Weds and Fri 1h outdoor endurance increased ftp
- Inserting Weds 30min Easy Solo increased ftp
- Inserting Fri 30min Easy Solo affected nothing. Longer was detrimental.
- Accepting fatigue management recommendations decreased predicted ftp
- Adding a 30min swim tonight affected nothing
So I’m back to a predicted 251. 
