Brand new TR user here. Came from SYSTM. New to structured training. Previously just cycled fairly hard for an hour. I’m 41, 74kg, and healthy (touch wood). From August - November, I took training more seriously, and went from an untrained 200 ballpark ftp to 260. I was concerned I might be over tr…

Short answer, no. Your ceiling is determined by your training, but also your individual physiology and genetics. It might be easy for you, it might never happen. With that said, you can only find out what your ceiling is by putting in place a good training plan and being consistent with it, fuel…

[image] sdel: From August - November, I took training more seriously, and went from an untrained 200 ballpark ftp to 260. I was concerned I might be over training, and decided to go structured. For that, I liked the sound of TR’s adaptive approach. I’ve set up a 3 month ‘aggressive’ plan. Big…

4w per kg is a very high goal especially for your age with no endurance training history. the 260w are already very impressive in that short amount of time. while i see a few people on the forum that say they achieved 4w/kg with low mid volume. the only real world examples i personally know all rid…

[image] sdel: was concerned I might be over training, and … I’ve set up a 3 month ‘aggressive’ plan. Maybe go for balanced first?

Impressively responsive forum. Kudos to the community here. To summarize, prediction of ftp gains is a fools errand. Consequently, even having an FTP goal for a given training period isn’t sensible, because that’s just another name for an expected gain. And a few people encouraged caution and sens…

A while ago, FTP prediction was on the roadmap. [image] Forecasting future FTP using AT and AI FTP TrainerRoad Software Now we have Adaptive Training and AI FTP Detection, is it be possible to theorize what my FTP will be in 4 weeks time if i completed all my training with…

TrainerRoad

Expected gains: Can we predict anything?

Training

N1c0las December 16, 2024, 10:29am 10

A while ago, FTP prediction was on the roadmap.

Has it been dropped ?

Topic		Replies	Views
Your FTP improvements Results	2416	239287	September 1, 2025
Realistic FTP goals? Results	34	16696	February 19, 2021
Are my FTP Goals insane? Training	25	1991	December 6, 2023
Forecasting future FTP using AT and AI FTP TrainerRoad Software	33	4380	March 11, 2022
265 FTP -> 300. Is it possible Training	29	2881	February 28, 2025

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Expected gains: Can we predict anything?

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