For context: I’m a 51 year old male in Vermont. Been mountain biking for the past 4 years but new to gravel. Last season was my first on a gravel bike, I fell in love with it, and I wanted to try some races this summer.
I signed up for TR in January and loved it. TR imported all my MTB rides and assigned an FTP of 193. I clawed my way up to my current FTP of 210 as of April 19. After hitting 210, it projected an FTP of 225 by May 17.
Then the weather started getting nice here in Vermont. After a brutally cold winter of doing TR’s structured workouts indoors, I couldn’t wait to get out and just ride. I just wanted to enjoy long gravel rides and MTB rides. I was so happy to be outside. I stopped following the structured workouts and rode whatever I felt like.
Here’s where things get interesting:
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Week 1 outside: I did 450 TSS on the bike. TR recomended 390 TSS.
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Week 2: 412/409
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Week 3: 343/158
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Week 4 (this week, so far): 207 out of 498. I have my first race Saturday: 50 miles, 5,500 ft of climbing.
With each week of outside riding, even though I was putting in more TSS than prescribed, my FTP projection kept going down. My projected FTP for May 17 is now 209, one watt less than my current FTP.
I’ve done some research and I get why this is happening (sort of). Long endurance rides outside, even at very high TSS, give the algorithm almost no information about my FTP. You can put up 450+ weekly TSS at 0.85 IF and the model sees a lot of volume but nothing that touches the part of the power-duration curve it cares about, so the projection drifts backward. However, from my perspective, I don’t think my fitness is regressing - I feel stronger after doing my long rides.
I feel more race-ready than I would if I’d stayed on the trainer doing intervals. Outdoor long rides have taught me how to handle the actual fatigue of being on the bike for hours and how to fuel properly. For Saturday’s race specifically, I think I needed the outdoor rides more than I needed another VO2 block.
Question 1: Is there a point to having TrainerRoad if I plan on riding unstructured?
TR was an incredibly useful tool in the off-season, but now that I’m racing and riding outside on actual terrain, I no longer see it as the source of truth about my fitness. Is it worth keeping? Is there a way to just ride freely outside and still have TR be useful? Maybe for fatigue detection? Maybe to do an indoor structured workout every now and then on rain days? Curious what other TR users do during the on-season. Do you stick with structured? Drop it entirely? Some hybrid?
I have considered doing structured workouts outside but it’s really challenging in VT. We have no flat roads, treacherous long climbs, and endless descents. For MTB, most of our trails are pitchy and technical. Honestly, I don’t want to mentally focus on intervals outside. I want to ride.
Question 2: What’s the deal with race week? (see screenshot)
TR wants me to do a VO2 max workout today, 3 days before my race, and it’s classifying that workout as “easy.” Is there such a thing as an easy VO2 max workout? Should I even be doing VO2 work 3 days before a race?
Any advice and feedback is appreciated.

