Blowing past FTP on race day

That does seem to be a big jump in FTP :+1:

I’d echo what the others have said regarding keeping the conditions of the test and the training consistent but that does seem like a big difference.

Are you using the same power meter both inside and outside? Cooling OK indoors?

I would trust yourself (and adaptive training) to set your indoor workouts to the correct level based on your perception of them.