I’m looking at the favorites according to the betting odds, and there are a few interesting observations:
Colombia seems to be the powerhouse nation when it comes to good riders, they have 8 of the top 31 favorites and their combined odds are over 36%. (of course most of this is Egan)…but still remarkable when you adjust for population, gdp per capita and commercial interests. The smart bet is that a Colombian will win the TdF.
French riders are over represented in number relative to their skill, but appropriately represented given commercial interests.
Jumbo has the strongest team with 5 favorites and 36% odds. The smart bet is that a Jumbo guy will win the TdF.
These are the guys that in my opinion, given the implied odds, offer the best risk/reward:
Miguel Angel Lopez
Here’s the list :