12% price increases coming for many bikes - if you can even find one

Yeah I’m looking for an aero disk race bike in the 6-7k range and that seems super hard to find right now!

I think we saw/know the same person.

Curious if consumers will eventually get bored/tired of waiting, go back to old habits/outdoor things as they get vaccinated and things open up, along with price increase - that could deter others.

As for prices - yeah those aren’t going down sadly. I saw a yeti t2 with gx for 7500 at a local shop the other day. I almost threw up.

Well this is the age-old question the bike industry battles…it is a fight for disposable income, not one bike brand vs. another. We always said that in the Spring, if there was good weather on a weekend, we’d have a great week as people had their refund checks burning a hole in their pocket. if the weather sucked, they’d just go get a home theater system.

So how patient will some of these customers be now? And what will the industry look like when some of this demand pops and there is a flood pf product? (For reference, go look at the market for Forehead thermometers right now…demand popped just as a tidal wave of product hit the shores. From being impossible to find they are now everywhere and dirt cheap).

This is why the industry has been somewhat slow to expand capacity and react to the spike in demand…most don’t believe the surge is long-term or sustainable.

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Guess this is a good time to be content with my bike. Good carbon, Ultegra di2, good 50mm wheels, one piece bar stem. I was already kind of meh about buying a new bike because while lighter stiffer aeroer is all good, I don’t really think there is anything revolutionary going on that would make me shell out an extra 5k to get what I’d want. Integrated cables and being 30 seconds an hour faster seems like a pretty bad deal for the price, could be the worst deal in the history of deals for an amateur rider

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This is a key point that I think a lot of people miss looking at this just from the consumer side. Increasing production past a certain point requires increasing production capacity. Manufacturing physical products with tight specs is a difficult thing to rapidly scale up or down and carries real costs going either direction that could potentially sink a brand that makes the wrong call.

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It seems pretty crazy compared to how most of us are used to shopping for bikes or consumer goods - more like the real estate market :grimacing:

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Personally I think it will be a bit of both - a few more people will cycle, mostly for commuting and leisure. Some people will stop cycling and their bikes will come into the second hand market, but probably only in a year or two, once they realise they really won’t use the bike again.

The other thing is that for a lot of the “new cyclists”, the bike is a one-off purchase, and they’re not likely to buy another one within the next 5-10 years.

Finding used is a crapshoot as well. Have found a few 20/19/20 sparks and epics but so hard to drop 3400-4K for a bike with a new model coming out - granted the thought of getting the new frame this year is not happening. (scott that is)

Trail bikes are ridiculous to find as well. I put up my 2018 alloy enduro bike and I had people messaging me 300$ over asking .

I agree and the bikes that are mostly selling or sold the most (suspect as I don’t have numbers) are the mid range bikes.

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Bikes around here are rare. One bike shop would normally have a couple thousand in stock…yesterday they had 10. A larger bike shop advises ordering now for 2022 and maybe even 2023. They indicate Trek seems to be supplying most orders in a 6-12 month time frame. They indicate they have over 4,000 presently waiting delivery. The challenge is you look at a bike…and they even tell you it may be next years model that you get.

What surpises me is the Trek Domane seems to have gotten heavier over a short period of time. The 2021 Domane SL6 now comes in at 20.5 pounds. The SL7 is 19.5 pounds. In 2017 these same bikes were 17.1 to 17.4 pounds. Anyone have any thoughts on why the jump in weight. I havent yet looked at other models just bugged by the weight increase. I also know just because I pick a model…I may get next years version. Is weight going to be higher? Is there an aero tradeoff going on?

Are they all disc break or were the 2017 rim brake bikes? Are you comparing the same spec (di2 is heavier than mechanical, 105 is heavier than ultegra)? Difference in wheels (deeper are typically heavier) or tires?

I checked…the 2017 SL6 and SL7 were rim breaks…2021 is disc breaks. The wheels are definitely larger as well as they now are able to take 38c. So more weight for disc brakes and larger wheels. I knew disc were heavier just surprised at the increase in weight overall

2021 has aero frame shapes. Also believe it adds a front ISO speed where the older models were rear only. Disc brakes standard, bigger wheels and tires, it all adds up

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There’s a microchip shortage worldwide which is affecting all manufacturing in all industries. Taiwan has recently experienced a drought too which has made things tough for them, not to mention escalating tensions with China. Most bicycles are manufactured in Taiwan. This is most likely contributing to increased costs to the big bike brands

I like how people are treating wanting to buy the latest & the greatest bike model like a cure for cancer.

They raised the price and you don’t think it’s worth it. Great! Don’t buy it. Don’t support the brand. There’s several other awesome brands out there and believe me: The previous generation of everything you are trying to buy right now were just as good as the current generation. Wait couple of years. When the SL8 is out, SL7 will be treated like the slowest riding piece of dirt that needs to be gotten rid of by thousands of riders and you’ll be able to get it for half the price. I know cause I’ve been there :rofl:

I love this country. Most people treat capitalism like the best thing since sliced bread and when it’s not benefiting them, it’s the greatest evil to have existed.

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