Trying to understand Sweet Spot

All methods work well on certain riders, you just have to know which method works for you. :wink:

I think @oldandfast’s example is a good one, though: in mountain biking it is very common to go above threshold for various reasons and power is much more variable. Sometimes the terrain forces you to punch it to get over an obstacle or climb up a short, very steep kicker. Both of these factors lead to a variability index that tends to be higher than in many road races. (Crits might be a different story, although good crit racers try to decrease VI by racing smart.) In short races where average power encroaches on your FTP, it might lead to an “overestimation” of your FTP based on the race file.

Moreover, MTB riders get accustomed to such efforts, so I think looking at mountain bikers pre-selects a subset of athletes where an overestimation might be more likely.

Another factor to consider is the frequency of out-of-the-saddle efforts… Comparing NP during mountain biking where you are frequently standing to average power when seated is comparing apples to oranges.

Yes, that’s certainly a factor. Moreover, the (whole body) effort of handling your bike is not included in the power meter data either. Descents might be quite fatiguing even though you are doing “close to 0 W”.

Just a small anecdote about “NP Busters”. Here’s the power file of a recent ~1h hilly crit I participated in.

Normalized power 354W, while TR puts my FTP at 319W and I doubt my real 1h average power is over 310W. I may be a rarity, but I doubt it’s uncommon to see NP’s like these in hilly/rolling races :slight_smile: And I only did a couple of out-of-sample efforts as I suck at those compared to just spinning away high cadence on a low gear.

@The_Cog what would you say is the most effective way to improve FTP.
a) 3-5 sessions per week doing shorter periods of 90-100% ftp work i.e 40-50 mins per session
Or
b) 1 or 2 sessions per weeks but really pushing time in zone out each session.i.e 60……90 mins
c) other

That’s the typical scenario that leads to an apparent ‘NP buster’ (right down to your uncertainty re. your true FTP).

One thing is certain: your FTP is closer to the NP than the AP for that race.

(Note: FTP is not defined as 1 h power.)

  1. All roads lead to Rome (which should have been a PPP).

  2. Sooner or later, you have to increase the power (which was one of the PPPs).

An IF of 1.10 is quite high :+1: I did see values between 1.05 and 1.15 or so in a hilly hourish-long road race(*). Talking to other athletes in Japan, it seemed kinda normal to see IF > 1.0 for those type of courses and durations. I reckon the only races where this wasn’t true was a relatively flat crit race and a hill climb TT. (I don’t have power data for those.)

(*) Most road races in Japan are circuit races or “very long crits” in the sense that you do a loop 3–7 times. They’d typically involve 2, sometimes 3 climbs, one of them quite steep where you’d be in Z6 (i. e. above VO2max power) for up to a minute.

Did the Rapha 10k gravel ride yesterday in Stockton, IL….82 miles, ~7k feet of climbing, but all relatively short, punchy climbs.

After a bit over an hour, I glanced down at my computer and saw .99 on my screen….it literally took me a minute to figure out what field I was looking at because it made no sense “I’ve gone farther than a mile, I’ve climbed more than 99 feet…what field is that?!?!?” :rofl::rofl::rofl:

Finished after 5:30 of riding time and a .85 IF.

Sure, but I’m certain you wouldn’t include them in any formal protocol to test MLSS, for a good reason.

Your list is a tacit endorsement of the critical power model. In retrospect, it seems that I’m the spirit of “performance is the best predictor of performance”, this is the least bad tool, with fewer assumptions, and perhaps we didn’t need FTP in the first place?

Different tools in the toolbox. Pick the right tool for the job at hand, or realize none of the tools are going to help on a particular job. IMHO you need to learn to feel where you go from stable to unstable physiology. The tools being discussed simply help inform after the fact. Use structure to train above and below, it’s often more productive than training in the border zone power range (at threshold / FTP).

It’s an endorsement of limited power curve modeling, not any one particular model. I could just as easily call it a tacit endorsement of WKO4/5 (which it is). I have never quite understood why there’s this big divergence in opinion on CP/W’ vs. FTP/FRC modeling. Seems like people will ardently defend one or the other.

This wouldn’t be smart as WKO’s model is derivative, opaque and basically a marketing strategy tool. Where’s the CP model has a rich tradition of open research and physiology association.

…upon which a tool was built that ppl will actually pay for. I think where they have missed the mark is marketing and selling a “WKO Lite” type of package targeting the individual self-coached athlete.

intervals.icu is enjoying that lunch.

I think there are six ppl in the world who still care about CP v. FTP debates. Even Skiba is like “close enough”.

I went through a CP model > FTP model phase, largely because of my affinity to open source (not free source, open). But until someone builds a UI on top of that model that isn’t right out of a junior high hackathon, then good enough is going to have to be good enough.

Exactly my point.

And yet Coggan himself endorses WKO because, well, he created the model for it. So, I am pretty sure it is “smart” to believe he is endorsing WKO, since he directly did so in post 212.

:partying_face::joy::rofl: I’ve got a volunteer job for you in GoldenCheetah marketing….

I use WKO alongside Golden Cheetah…and I have to agree with you. But it’s a clean software that unfortunately still doesn’t have some very basic analysis features. And Golden Cheetah is, well…Golden Cheetah.

I’ve used a bunch of the analytics/models, in chronological order as best I remember: TP, Xert, Strava, Firstbeat/Garmin Connect, TrainerRoad, WKO4, GoldenCheetah, WKO5, and Intervals. Something I like in each of them. Far and away the most flexible and valuable for myself is WKO5.

This is an error in thinking called appeal to authority. Coggan can be at the same time smart, biased and self serving.

You can take that up with him, but I took it as you saying it wasn’t smart to say it was an endorsement of WKO4/5. Maybe you think actually endorsing WKO4/5 isn’t smart, that’s fine - you’re entitled to that opinion. That’s not what I took you as saying, however.

But again, my point was that arguing about FTP vs. Critical Power is kind of pointless, as is - in my opinion - arguing the viability of WKO4/5 vs. CP modeling software.