Okay so, let me try to puzzle through this because i’m not a coach or a physiologist or anything, just a dude who reads a lot–so, just like many of us in this forum
. So take this with a grain of salt but i’ll do my best here.
Anyway, so first the aerobic / anaerobic part. I think you are correct that anything over one minute is mostly aerobic, but that’s AFTER you get through that minute–in the beginning, it’s mostly anaerobic, and in fact anaerobic probably provides the majority in the aggregate. Basically as you already note, the energy systems contributing change over time. So if you do a five minute hard interval, yeah by the end it’s almost totally aerobic, and mostly aerobic overall, but you would have dug deep into your anaerobic capacity in the beginning, and even at the end, it’s still firing to break those glycogens and create the lactate that your aerobic system then burns.
So the intervals. Of course any aerobic training increases your aerobic capacity, but i’m assuming that when people are doing these intervals they are looking for the specific max aerobic adaptations that you get from accumulating time at vo2max. And of course, Vo2max is a state, not a power; there’s a bunch of power ranges that get you to vo2max over different time periods.
Say you do these five minutes truly all out, you probably reach vo2max after about 2 minutes, and accumulate 3 minutes there. Great, right? But it’s at a tremendous cost. You just drained that anaerobic battery and if it is really truly all out, it’ll take a lot longer than 1:1 before you’re ready to go again. Imagine doing 5x5 minutes, truly all out, with like 20 minutes rest. This could actually be a great workout, but this isn’t what people are realling doing.
so most people are doing these something less than all out but still hard. In this case, maybe you reach vo2max at the end of the first interval, maybe not even; maybe you don’t reach it until the second one. So charitably, after 15 minutes of intervals, you maybe have accumulated 5 minutes at vo2max. And you still burned a lot of matches doing it. How many more of these have you got left in you? A lot of people, quality starts to decline after this.
Listen, I love these intervals, i think they’re great. They definitely harden you up! But if you’re looking to accumulate more minutes at vo2max, there might be better ways. One is the Seiler type intervals where you go longer, short rests, with lower power (above threshold, but not as high). Heart rate (using as a proxy for vo2max) rises more slowly, but you might be able to accumulate more time because each interval is less taxing. Or you could do two minutes as hard as you can–get up to vo2max real quick–and then drop the power to just above threshold, and see how long you can go. Drop the power so that you can keep going, but still high enough that HR (and vo2 utilization) stay high. Or even tabatas. To my knowledge, that was the whole point: they recognized that getting up to vo2max and staying there is really, really hard, and this protocol was designed to find an easier way to get up there and stay there.
I’ll read your link–haven’t read it yet–but there are others who have found that some of these alternative max-aerobic protocols can be superior (I believe it would depend on the athlete). These are just alternatives to consider.