Non-Smart Trainer Issues or Just fatigued?

Yes, for Virtual Power, this is SUPER important. In short, Virtual Power takes your wheel speed and known trainer (as entered into the app) and converts that to an estimated power.

  • If you removed the pressure entirely, but still pedaled it, you would be getting power data, because of the wheel speed. This would of course be totally inaccurate.
  • That is an extreme example, but meant to show that wheel speed is the way the app estimates power. So having very consistent bike tire pressure and trainer roller pressure is essential in giving you worthwhile data.

Until you make a serious effort to control those settings, that is in question, IMHO.