I’ve updated my analysis of the qualifying events and predictions for finish times to employ a logarithmic regression analysis. The correlation coefficient is marginally better employing this method, and will generally inspire more confidence for those folks–like myself–that are in the purple, orange, and/or blue corrals.
FYI, in Excel the function is: = LN(“qualifying time”)*Slope+Intercept, where the “qualifying time” is expressed in the HH:MM:SS format.
Sub-9hr predictions:
Sub-12hr predictions:
