Super interesting thread, I’m caught up and I’ll add mine to the pot.
The punchline is in 2014-2015 I went from Untrained (2.5wkg) to (4.75wkg) in 9 months, with 3 of those early months volume base building. When I peaked, I got really ill, burnt out, and I haven’t been able to touch 4.75wkg since.
I’ve cruised around 3.8wkg~4.3wkg for the last 5 years, and trying to make my way back to my peak to see if there’s a higher ceiling. Some of my friends have hit +5.0wkg last month and I am definitely jelly.
At the start of this story in 2013 I’m in my mid-20’s and:
- 5’6 / 168cm
- 155lbs / 70kg (considered overweight)
- I have commuted on my bike to school/college/work all my life.
- In 2015, avg volume per week was 12.5hr / 200 miles.
2013 (No PM, Untrained): Bought a roadie, used it for short commutes to work.
2014: (180w/70kg = 2.57wkg) Did my first organized metric (flat pedal, t-shirt, pants) after a more serious friend invited me. Got hooked. This was August in 2014, and I did lots of 10pm~12am midnight volume training throughout winter.
Feb.2015: (240w/68kg = 3.5wkg)
Mar.2015: (250w/67kg = 3.67wkg)
Apr.2015: (260w/65kg = 4.00wkg)
May.2015:(280w/63kg = 4.44wkg)
Jun.2015: (295w/62kg= 4.75wkg)
Somewhere along the way I hit peak 1min power @ ~9.5wkg. Then I got sick, physically and mentally. Overtrained. I didn’t know what I was training for or why I was doing any of this. I don’t race, I hardly ever rode with anyone but myself. Quick to gain, quick to lose.
The next years looked like this. These are peaks so day to day it’s often way less.
2016: 4.4wkg
2017: 4.1wkg
2018: 4.0wkg
2019: 4.22wkg
2020: 4.50wkg
Final thoughts:
I really think 5wkg is similar to running the 1600meters @ sub-5min. Sure we can debate the threshold number, but the point is the following: It’s a nice and round, magic barrier number that many serious enthusiasts in each sport try to cross. Similarly, I think there are biological dispositions that allow some people to achieve 5min miles / 5wkg pretty quickly, while many have to work like crazy to get there, and some can never get there. FWIW I have never broken 6 minutes running a 1600m, let alone 5min.
Anyway, I’m trying to get there (5wkg). It has been a struggle but I’m clawing my way back. True gains are made sustainably and repeatably; Not over 9 months.