Oval Chainrings.. Thoughts?

Your thinking is right. Although, if the new rings do inflate your power, you’re best to do an FTP test to reset your training. But to be honest, I didn’t bother when I switched my road bike. I had ideas of doing some speed-at-given-power testing between the rings but never got around to it. If it has inflated my power, it has been unnoticeable to me.