Forecasting future FTP using AT and AI FTP

[jjmc]

@enki42

Those are the ones who are more important to predict. If your FTP changes by only a few percent your workouts won’t really change by much but if they change by a large amount it can have a great influence on how you train. Plus a prediction of a large growth can help people who are new better apreciate TR so become long term subscribers and help them figure out the best training load for improvement. (ie. compare the predicted FTP gains for low volume vs mid volume)

I’m confused by what you’re trying to get here. You do get those changes with a re-assessment every 4-6 weeks. Knowing if you’ll get that much now, which is just really a WAG has no real impact
on the training you should do.

And a 2-3% difference in intensity is a really big deal. It makes a huge difference in workouts - without AT I’d often start failing workouts coming off a change like that.

Guessing what fitness changes will be is irrelevant. What we really want is actually sustained 2-3% growth. Compound that for yourself over a year or two and you’d be extremely happy.