I’m currently in the TrainerRoad Specialty phase after increasing my FTP to 302. However, the AI is now predicting my next FTP at 298. I’m trying to understand how that’s possible and what factors might be influencing that projection. What can I do to ensure continued progress?
Specialty phases generally include a level of de-loading to ensure freshness for a target event, so that’s one possible factor leading to a slight prediction decrease. So at the end of a specialty phase, intensity may be maintained but at a lower volume, etc. Or even just the different types of workouts being done during Speciality.
I wouldn’t be worried about 302-298, I think what matters more will be what your plans are after this specialty phase, ie: what’s next, if you want to progress further.
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Thanks. I’m trying to shift my focus away from FTP and more toward the quality of the workouts and how I’m actually feeling, especially with more outdoor riding coming up. Last summer my FTP fluctuated, but I was stronger, more confident, and riding faster overall. Interestingly, today the AI prediction jumped again—from 302 to 310